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NIKARAGUA: Liga Primera - Apertura Standings
NIKARAGUA: Liga Primera - Apertura Standings
28.07.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

NIKARAGUA: Liga Primera - Apertura Standings

UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana

Football
U
UNAN Managua
2 : 0
Finished
R
Rancho Santana
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 UNAN Managua — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · UNAN Managua): model 60% · market 72% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · UNAN Managua47.4%
X · draw26.3%
2 · Rancho Santana26.3%

Model estimate: win UNAN Managua 47.4%, draw 26.3%, win Rancho Santana 26.3%. Model favourite — UNAN Managua.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1UNAN Managua (odds1.70) Score 2:0 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Model backs UNAN-Managua: probability 62% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like UNAN Managua.

Line favourite Fonbet: UNAN Managua. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 9.50 / 2 3.61
  • Glicko: UNAN Managua 47.4% / X 26.3% / Rancho Santana 26.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 37.2%
1 72.1%
X 7.7%
2 20.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.87 ↓ 1.01
1X2 X 3.55 ↑ 9.50
1X2 2 3.60 ↑ 26.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

UNAN Managua 1 : 1 Rancho Santana
11.85
X3.85
23.79

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated27.07.2026 01:24 UTC
1 48% ✓ favourite
X 29%
2 23%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance 1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-3
Claude updated27.07.2026 01:34 UTC
1 47% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 25%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance 1X + Total Bolshe 2.5
Qwen updated27.07.2026 01:33 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 01:50 UTC
1 45% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 25%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-2-3

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 48% 29% 23% 1:1 Under 2.5 Yes Double chance 1X
Claude 47% 28% 25% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes Double chance 1X + Total Bolshe 2.5
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 45% 30% 25% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 00:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models UNAN Managua 55%
📐 Math model UNAN Managua 47%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 47.4% fact: home hit / ROI 95.0% / Brier 0.414 / LogLoss 0.746
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 47.4% fact: home hit / ROI 95.0% / Brier 0.414 / LogLoss 0.746
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
UNAN Managua 46.6% 47.4% market and model agree
Draw 26.7% 26.3% draw risk
Rancho Santana 26.7% 26.3%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.4% / 26.3% / 26.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,629 / 1,295 UNAN Managua / Rancho Santana
RD 298 / 244 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,032-2,226 / 807-1,782 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.46 market consensus · no value · model 26.3%
X 9.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 47.4%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 73.7%
1X 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 73.7%
X2 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +399.4% · model 52.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 0 6.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.08 92.6% 2.28 43.9%
yes 6.10 16.4% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.07 93.5%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.76 56.8% 9.50 10.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.38 42.0%
X 2.41 41.5%
3.76 26.6%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.01 99.0%
— — 1.01 99.0%
— — 1.02 98.0%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 8.00 12.5%
— — 12.00 8.3%
1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.08 92.6%
— — 12.00 8.3%
— — 11.00 9.1%
— — 10.00 10.0%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.04 96.2%
— — 1.01 99.0%
2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 6.00 16.7%
Match center
UNAN Managua
D
17.07 23:00 UTC NIKARAGUA: Liga Primera - Apertura Standings
UNAN Managua 1:1 Real EsteliReal Esteli
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Rancho Santana
L
18.07 22:00 UTC NIKARAGUA: Liga Primera - Apertura Standings
Rancho Santana 1:2 FK Managua
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points