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Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg
Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg
28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg

Olesunn U19 - Lillestrem U19

Football
O
Olesunn U19
3 : 1
Finished
L
Lillestrem U19

Olesunn U19 go head-to-head with Lillestrem U19 on July 28, 2026 in the Norway. U19. National League. Round of 16. First leg.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olesunn U19 - Lillestrem U19 July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Lillestrem U19. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 4.52 / 2 1.97

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 33.8%
X 20.1%
2 46.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Nasjonal U19 Champions League
League table
Olesunn U19
#179 ptsGP 63-0-39:15
WWLLW
Lillestrem U19
#114 ptsGP 64-2-021:11
WWDDW
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Olesunn U19
W-D-L 6-0-4 Scored 1.86 Conceded 2.76
Lillestrem U19
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 2.94 Conceded 1.65 xG 2.38 xGA 2.25

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Olesunn U19
Rating 1587
Lillestrem U19
Rating 1669

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 33.8% @ 2.69 / X 20.1% @ 4.52 / 2 46.1% @ 1.97
Match center

Olesunn U19 - Lillestrem U19

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 45.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.677 / LogLoss 1.067
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 45.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.677 / LogLoss 1.067
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 market consensus · line only
X 4.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.40 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.59 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 4.02 24.9%
yes 1.20 83.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.60 62.5%
x2 1.31 76.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.04 32.9%
X 2.71 36.9%
2.43 41.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 1.5 2.06 48.5%