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Norway. Division 1
Norway. Division 1
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Norway. Division 1

Stabaek - Hodd

Football
S
Stabaek
6 : 0
Finished
H
Hodd
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Stabaek — 66%

Pure model vs market (1 · Stabaek): model 51% · market 66% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Stabaek ✓ Pick65.8%
market66%
X · draw18.6%
market19%
2 · Hodd15.7%
market15%

Model estimate: win Stabaek 65.8%, draw 18.6%, win Hodd 15.7%. Model favourite — Stabaek.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Stabaek (odds1.39) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Stabek: probability 50% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
  • • no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stabaek - Hodd July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stabaek.

Strongest: Stabaek - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 4.97 / 2 6.07
  • 1X2 market: Stabaek 66.3% / X 18.5% / Hodd 15.2%
  • Glicko: Stabaek 65.8% / X 18.6% / Hodd 15.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 ✓ Pick 66.3%
X 18.5%
2 15.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

1. Division
League table
Stabaek
#330 ptsGP 159-3-338:16
WWWLW
Hodd
#621 ptsGP 156-3-622:25
LWWDL
Best price across 13 books
1 1.39 Betano
X 5.72 Pinnacle
2 7.00 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Stabaek
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.00 xG 2.02 xGA 1.45
Hodd
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.90 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.25 xGA 1.87

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Stabaek
Rating 1592
Hodd
Rating 1504

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Stabaek 3 : 1 Hodd
11.38
X5.20
26.61

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
55 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 0
X 100% 1
2 0% 0
Double chance 1X 1.08 (3) - 12 1.14 (1) - X2 3.00 (1)
Total TM 3.5 1.93 (3) - TB 3.5 1.84 (2) - TM 4.5 1.36 (2)
handicap1 handicap1:-1_5 1.93 (4) - handicap1:-1 1.49 (2)
total_t2_under total_t2_over:1_5 2.92 (1) - total_t1_over:2 1.44 (1) - total_t1_over:2_5 1.89 (1)
Match center
Start 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Draw 100%
📐 Math model Stabaek 66%
💹 Market Stabaek 6630%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Stabaek - Hodd

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 1 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 6:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 65.8% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.176 / LogLoss 0.419
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 65.8% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.176 / LogLoss 0.419
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 65.8% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.176 / LogLoss 0.419
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 65.8% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.176 / LogLoss 0.419
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Stabaek 66.7% 65.8% market and model agree
Draw 18.4% 18.6% draw risk
Hodd 14.9% 15.7%
1X2: 17 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 65.8% / 18.6% / 15.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,719 / 1,596 Stabaek / Hodd
RD 211 / 204 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,297-2,141 / 1,187-2,005 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 market consensus · no value · model 15.7%
X 8.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 65.8%
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 81.4%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 84.3%
X2 2.85 market consensus · no value · model 34.2%
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4%
X 4.80 20.8% 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0% 4.85 20.6% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%
5.60 17.9% 6.32 15.8% 6.00 16.7% 5.80 17.2% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.23 81.3% 2.40 41.7%
yes 3.60 27.8% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.01 99.0%
x2 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 12.00 8.3%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 26.00 3.9%
0_1 21.00 4.8%
0_2 34.00 2.9%
0_3 67.00 1.5%
1_0 10.00 10.0%
1_1 9.00 11.1%
1_2 15.00 6.7%
1_3 34.00 2.9%
1_4 81.00 1.2%
2_0 8.50 11.8%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 9.50 10.5%
3_1 8.50 11.8%
3_2 13.00 7.7%
3_3 31.00 3.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-1-0, avg 4.0 gls
2026-07-27 · Stabek 6:0 Khodd
2025-10-25 · Stabek 3:1 Khodd
2025-03-31 · Stabek 1:1 Khodd
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.55 (Liga Stavok) · X 5.2 (Betcity) · 2 5.7 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.5 4.5 4.8
Winline 1.54 4.5 4.6
Fonbet 1.5 4.5 4.8
Betcity 1.4 5.2 5.7
Liga Stavok 1.55 4.5 4.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Cards total 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Stabaek
W W
03.07 15:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Stabaek 5:2 Rankheym
14.06 12:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Stabaek 3:1 Egersund
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
Hodd
W L L
04.07 12:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Hodd 4:3 Stremsgodset
14.06 12:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Hodd 1:2 Kongsvinger
31.05 13:00 UTC Norway: OBOS-Liga Standings
Hodd 0:1 Bryune
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStabaek - Hodd

Stabaek
0 matches total
Hodd
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history