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Norway. Superleague. Outrights
Norway. Superleague. Outrights
15-y Round 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC 15-y Round
Finished

Norway. Superleague. Outrights

Rosenborg - Fredrikstad

Football
Stadium Lerkendal (Tronkheym, Norway), vmestimost: 21423
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Finished
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Rosenborg — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rosenborg): model 63% · market 58% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Rosenborg ✓ Pick58.7%
market58%
X · draw23.0%
market24%
2 · Fredrikstad18.3%
market19%

Model estimate: win Rosenborg 58.7%, draw 23.0%, win Fredrikstad 18.3%. Model favourite — Rosenborg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rosenborg (odds1.67) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Rusenborg: probability 50% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rosenborg - Fredrikstad July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rosenborg.

Strongest: Rosenborg - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 3.96 / 2 4.99
  • 1X2 market: Rosenborg 57.7% / X 23.6% / Fredrikstad 18.7%
  • Glicko: Rosenborg 58.7% / X 23.0% / Fredrikstad 18.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 ✓ Pick 57.8%
X 23.5%
2 18.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Eliteserien
League table
Rosenborg
#918 ptsGP 145-3-619:18
WWWDL
Fredrikstad
#1214 ptsGP 144-2-815:27
LLLWD
Best price across 13 books
1 1.68 SBO
X 4.68 Pinnacle
2 6.30 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Rosenborg
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.51 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.47 xGA 1.58 Corners 5.3
Fredrikstad
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.29 xGA 1.77 Corners 4.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Rosenborg
Rating 1530 xG 1.90 Win 62%
Fredrikstad
Rating 1498 xG 0.86 Win 17%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Rosenborg 2 : 1 Fredrikstad
11.56
X4.35
25.73

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Participant opinions
342 predictions Choose an outcome
1 94% 124
X 5% 7
2 0% 0
Double chance X2 2.50 (8) - 1X 1.13 (3)
handicap1 handicap1:-1_5 2.36 (27) - handicap1:-1 1.87 (22) - handicap1:-3_5 8.70 (1)
Total TM 2.5 2.21 (13) - TB 2.5 1.66 (9) - TB 3.5 2.50 (9)
total_t2_under total_t1_over:1_5 1.56 (21) - total_t1_over:2_5 2.74 (5) - total_t1_over:2 2.04 (3)
Match center
Stadium Lerkendal (Tronkheym, Norway), vmestimost: 21423
Start 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Rosenborg 94%
📐 Math model Rosenborg 59%
💹 Market Rosenborg 5769%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Rosenborg - Fredrikstad

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Rusenborg - Fredrikstad, 27 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Norvegii po futbolu (Elitseriya) 2026, 15 round. Rusenborg - Fredrikstad, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 131 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.7% fact: home hit / ROI 68.0% / Brier 0.256 / LogLoss 0.532
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.7% fact: home hit / ROI 68.0% / Brier 0.256 / LogLoss 0.532
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rosenborg 58.5% 58.7% market and model agree
Draw 23.2% 23.0% draw risk
Fredrikstad 18.3% 18.3%
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.7% / 23.0% / 18.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,677 / 1,202 Rosenborg / Fredrikstad
RD 229 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,219-2,135 / 693-1,711 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.06 market consensus · no value · model 18.3%
X 3.99 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 58.7%
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 77.0%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 81.7%
X2 2.39 market consensus · no value · model 41.3%
Handicap
2 -1 2.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.90 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.14 24.2% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6%
5.00 20.0% 5.32 18.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.05 95.2% 2.00 50.0%
yes 7.50 13.3% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.42 41.3% 2.36 42.4% 11.50 8.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 10.00 10.0%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_2 23.00 4.4%
0_3 56.00 1.8%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 6.50 15.4%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 34.00 2.9%
1_4 91.00 1.1%
2_0 7.00 14.3%
2_1 6.50 15.4%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 91.00 1.1%
3_0 11.00 9.1%
3_1 10.00 10.0%
3_2 17.00 5.9%
Match center
Lineup summary
  • 1 vr Leopold Valstedt
  • 15 zsch Yonas Mortensen
  • 4 zsch Mikkel Konradsen Seyde
  • 21 zsch Tomash Nemchik
  • 19 zsch Adrian Pereyra
  • 17 pz Mads Bomkholt
  • 10 pz Ole Selnes
  • 8 pz Iver Fossum
  • 29 np David Dyurish
  • 18 np Amin Shyakha
Rosenborg

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Fredrikstad

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

9 np Dino Islamovich 17 zsch Sigur Kvile 13 pz Sondre Serlekk
SStats Market - Form - H2H - Bookmakers
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-2-1, avg 2.33 gls
2026-07-27 · Rusenborg 4:0 Fredrikstad
2025-05-28 · Rusenborg 2:0 Fredrikstad
2025-04-05 · Rusenborg 1:0 Fredrikstad
2024-07-27 · Rusenborg 2:2 Fredrikstad
2024-06-02 · Rusenborg 1:1 Fredrikstad
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.76 (Betcity) · X 3.8 (Pari) · 2 4.3 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.75 3.8 4.3
Winline 1.75 3.7 4.2
Fonbet 1.75 3.8 4.3
Betcity 1.76 3.8 4.3
Liga Stavok 1.74 3.65 4.1
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

56 Ball possession 44
24 Vsego udarov 7
10 Shots on target 4
9 Shots off target 2
5 Udary ot vorot 13
5 Blokirovannye udary 1
8 Shtrafnye 17
10 Corners 3
2 Offsides 0
26 Auty 23
4 Saves 6
15 Fouls 8
1 Cards total 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
0 Travmy 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Rosenborg
W W
18.07 12:00 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Rosenborg 3:0 Start
12.07 13:00 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Rosenborg 3:0 KristiansunnKristiansunn
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Fredrikstad
L L
17.07 15:15 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Fredrikstad 0:1 Bude/Glimt
11.07 10:00 UTC Norway: Premier League Standings
Fredrikstad 0:2 LillestremLillestrem
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRosenborg - Fredrikstad

Rosenborg
0 matches total
Fredrikstad
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Rosenborg
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Fredrikstad
Rosenborg Team comparison Fredrikstad
13 Games 13
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 7
15 Scored 15
18 Conceded 23
15 Points 14
94.15 Attacks 100.31
47.77 Dangerous attacks 47.77
0 Big chances 0
11.54 Shots on goal 10.69
3.69 Udary v stvor 3.54
13 Games 13
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 7
15 Scored 15
18 Conceded 23

Rusenborg Fredrikstad 13 Games 13 4 Wins 4 3 Draws 2 6 Losses 7 15 Scored 15 18 Conceded 23 15 Points 14 94.15 Attacks 100.31 47.77 Dangerous attacks 47.77 0 Big chances 0 11.54 Shots on goal 10.69 3.69 Udary v stvor 3.54 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.62 Uglovye 4.38 1.38 Offsaydy 2.15 11 Foly 11.85 52.46 % vladeniya myachom 49.08 1.85 Warnings 1.92 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 01.11.2026 Norway — Elitseriya Fredrikstad –:– Rusenborg 25 round Goly Adrian Pereyra Ole Selnes 1:0 10' Emil Konradsen Seyde Ole Selnes 2:0 13' Amin Shyakha Mads Bomkholt 3:0 77' Iver Fossum 4:0 88' Nakazaniya Adrian Pereyra 32'