AI verdict

AI pick Arendal win probability ~67% confidence High best odds 1.35

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Arendal. Full breakdown below.

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Norway. Division 2. Group 1
Norway. Division 2. Group 1
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
25.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Norway. Division 2. Group 1

Arendal - Vidar

Football
A
Arendal
4 : 0
Finished
V
Vidar

Arendal take on Vidar on July 25, 2026 in the Norway. Division 2. Group 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Arendal 0-2-0, Vidar 0-1-0. The market favourite is Arendal at roughly 67%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Arendal (odds1.37) Score 2:1 confidence 56% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Arendal: probability 56% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arendal - Vidar July 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arendal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arendal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 4.82 / 2 6.29
  • 1X2 market: Arendal 66.8% / X 18.8% / Vidar 14.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.8% 15 books · best price +3.7%
1 66.9%
X 18.6%
2 14.6%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

2. Division - Group 1
League table
Arendal
#1014 ptsGP 133-5-518:20
WWWDD
Vidar
#143 ptsGP 130-3-109:34
LLLDD
Best price across 13 books
1 1.39 Betano
X 5.34 Pinnacle
2 7.06 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Arendal
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 1.31 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.40 xGA 1.67
Vidar
W-D-L 0-2-8 Scored 0.71 Conceded 2.60 xG 1.26 xGA 2.16

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Arendal
Rating 1502
Vidar
Rating 1268

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Arendal 3 : 1 Vidar
11.33
X4.90
26.86

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Market 1 66.9% @ 1.35 / X 18.7% @ 4.82 / 2 14.4% @ 6.29
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Match center

Arendal - Vidar

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 65.1% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.183 / LogLoss 0.429
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 65.1% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.183 / LogLoss 0.429
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 65.1% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.183 / LogLoss 0.429
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 65.1% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.183 / LogLoss 0.429
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.28 market consensus · line only
X 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5%
X 4.80 20.8% 4.80 20.8% 4.75 21.1% 4.70 21.3% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%
6.00 16.7% 6.81 14.7% 5.75 17.4% 6.20 16.1% 6.50 15.4% 6.60 15.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.23 81.3% 2.29 43.7%
yes 3.60 27.8% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5% 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.04 96.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7%
x2 2.70 37.0% 3.00 33.3% 5.60 17.9%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 23.00 4.4%
0_1 21.00 4.8%
0_2 34.00 2.9%
0_3 67.00 1.5%
1_0 10.00 10.0%
1_1 9.00 11.1%
1_2 15.00 6.7%
1_3 34.00 2.9%
1_4 91.00 1.1%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 76.00 1.3%
3_0 9.00 11.1%
3_1 8.50 11.8%
3_2 13.00 7.7%
3_3 34.00 2.9%
Match center
Arendal
D D
13.06 11:00 UTC Norway: Second Division - Group 1 Standings
Arendal 0:0 Eyk-Tonsberg
31.05 12:00 UTC Norway: Second Division - Group 1 Standings
Arendal 1:1 Sotra
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
2 Points
Vidar
D
13.06 10:00 UTC Norway: Second Division - Group 1 Standings
Vidar 1:1 Pors
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArendal - Vidar

Arendal
0 matches total
Vidar
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Arendal vs Vidar start?

July 25, 2026.