Match center
Start
30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
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30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished
Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 1 Standings
Asker - Redi
A
Asker
2
:
3
Finished
R
Redi
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Redi — 54%
Model estimate: win Asker 28.2%, draw 18.1%, win Redi 53.7%. Model favourite — Redi.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Redi (odds4.50)
Score 1:2
Over 2.5
(odds1.87) ✓
Handicap H2 +-0
(odds1.60) ✓
confidence 54%
✓ outcome correct
- • liniya na pik P2 2.08→4.50 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
- • Model backs Redi: probability 54% vs 22% on the line (odds 4.50)
- • edge over the line +31 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2
- • Total: Over 2.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 1.87)
- • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 1:2 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.60).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Asker - Redi July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.50 / X 1.32 / 2 4.50
- Glicko: Asker 28.2% / X 18.1% / Redi 53.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.3%
1
12.0%
X
68.1%
2
20.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
3.15
↑ 7.50
1X2 X
3.20
↓ 1.32
1X2 2
2.08
↑ 4.50
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Asker - Redi
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:3
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Asker
12.0%
28.2%
Draw
68.1%
18.1%
draw risk
Redi
20.0%
53.7%
market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
28.2% / 18.1% / 53.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,521 / 1,750
Asker / Redi
RD
221 / 255
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,078-1,964 / 1,240-2,260
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.50
Fonbet · weak value +141.5% · model 53.7%
X
1.32
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
7.50
Fonbet · no value · model 28.2%
Double chance
12
2.80
Fonbet · weak value +129.2% · model 81.9%
1X
1.15
Fonbet · no value · model 46.3%
X2
1.06
Fonbet · no value · model 71.8%
Handicap
2 0
1.60
Fonbet · line only
1 0
2.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.87
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.83
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 2.80 35.7% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 1.06 94.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 12.50 8.0% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 6.70 14.9% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.60 62.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 4.5 | 5.30 18.9% |
| Over 5.5 | 10.00 10.0% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 5.60 17.9% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 89.3% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 3.00 33.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.33 75.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.50 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
Match center
Asker
W
W
Asker
2:1
Union Carl Berner
Asker
6:0
Lokomotiv Oslo
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Redi
D
W
Redi
3:3
Frigg
Redi
5:3
Grey
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAsker - Redi
Asker
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Asker - Redi breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form