Match center
Start
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
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27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished
Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 1 Standings
Redi - Frigg
R
Redi
3
:
3
Finished
F
Frigg
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Redi — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Redi): model 33% · market 45% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Redi 44.5%, draw 22.6%, win Frigg 32.9%. Model favourite — Redi.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Redi (odds1.87)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Redi: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
- • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Redi - Frigg July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Redi.
Strongest: Redi - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.99 / 2 2.81
- 1X2 market: Redi 45.4% / X 22.6% / Frigg 32.1%
- Glicko: Redi 44.5% / X 22.6% / Frigg 32.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.2%
1
45.4%
X
22.5%
2
32.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
3. Division - Girone 1League table
Redi
DWLWD
Frigg
DDWWW
Best price
across 12 books
1
2.04
Unibet
X
4.50
Bet365
2
2.96
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Redi
W-D-L 5-4-1
Scored 2.30
Conceded 1.40
xG 2.27
xGA 1.76
Frigg
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 2.30
Conceded 1.69
xG 2.08
xGA 2.17
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Redi
Rating 1685
xG 2.00
Win 43%
Frigg
Rating 1645
xG 1.81
Win 36%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Redi
2
:
2
Frigg
11.96
X3.94
22.96
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Redi 45%
💹 Market
Redi 4536%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Redi - Frigg
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
3:3
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 44.5% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.906 / LogLoss 1.488
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 44.5% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.906 / LogLoss 1.488
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Redi
45.3%
44.5%
market and model agree
Draw
22.7%
22.6%
draw risk
Frigg
32.0%
32.9%
1X2: 15 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
44.5% / 22.6% / 32.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,700 / 1,937
Redi / Frigg
RD
296 / 284
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,108-2,293 / 1,368-2,505
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.10
Fonbet · no value · model 32.9%
X
1.22
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
9.00
Fonbet · no value · model 44.5%
Double chance
12
3.65
Fonbet · weak value +182.5% · model 77.4%
1X
1.10
Fonbet · no value · model 67.1%
X2
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 55.5%
Handicap
2 +0.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.56
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.45
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.95
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
6.90
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 3.94 25.4% | 4.50 22.2% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 2.80 35.7% | 2.96 33.8% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.88 34.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 6.90 14.5% | 3.65 27.4% |
| yes | 1.06 94.3% | 1.25 80.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.21 82.6% | 3.65 27.4% |
| 1x | 1.28 78.1% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 1.54 64.9% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.05 95.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_1 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 1_5 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 1_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 2_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 2_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_4 | 26.00 3.9% |
Match center
Redi
W
Redi
5:3
Grey
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
5.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
3
Points
Frigg
W
Frigg
4:1
Heming
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRedi - Frigg
Redi
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Redi - Frigg breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form