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Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings

Kongsvinger 2 - Skedsmo

Football
K
Kongsvinger 2
1 : 3
Finished
S
Skedsmo
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kongsvinger 2 — 49%

1 · Kongsvinger 248.6%
X · draw19.9%
2 · Skedsmo31.5%

Model estimate: win Kongsvinger 2 48.6%, draw 19.9%, win Skedsmo 31.5%. Model favourite — Kongsvinger 2.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Skedsmo (odds2.04) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Skedsmo: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kongsvinger 2 - Skedsmo July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Skedsmo.

Line favourite market consensus: Skedsmo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.77 / X 3.95 / 2 2.10
  • Glicko: Kongsvinger 2 48.6% / X 19.9% / Skedsmo 31.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 33.1%
X 23.2%
2 43.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

3. Division - Girone 5
League table
Kongsvinger 2
#1017 ptsGP 135-2-625:29
LWLLL
Skedsmo
#130 ptsGP 1310-0-330:18
WLWWW
Best price across 9 books
1 2.80 Dafabet
X 4.00 BetVictor
2 2.12 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kongsvinger 2
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.80 Conceded 2.50 xG 2.23 xGA 1.94
Skedsmo
W-D-L 8-0-2 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.20 xG 2.00 xGA 1.77

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kongsvinger 2
Rating 1467 xG 1.53 Win 32%
Skedsmo
Rating 1657 xG 1.86 Win 46%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kongsvinger 2 2 : 2 Skedsmo
12.77
X3.74
22.11

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Kongsvinger 2 - Skedsmo

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.746 / LogLoss 1.156
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.746 / LogLoss 1.156
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kongsvinger 2 33.1% 48.6% Glicko contrarian
Draw 23.2% 19.9% draw risk
Skedsmo 43.7% 31.5% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.6% / 19.9% / 31.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,400 / 1,470 Kongsvinger 2 / Skedsmo
RD 300 / 266 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 801-2,000 / 938-2,001 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.5%
X 3.95 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.77 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.6%
Handicap
2 0 1.66 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.42 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.28 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.42 29.2%
yes 1.28 78.1%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.14 46.7%
1.66 60.2%

Team To Score First

Outcome Leon
2.04 49.0%
X 32.00 3.1%
1.79 55.9%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 3.5 1.64 61.0%
Over 4 2.02 49.5%
Under 3.5 2.17 46.1%
Under 4 1.74 57.5%
Match center
Kongsvinger 2
L
31.05 13:00 UTC Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Kongsvinger 2 0:1 Finnsnes
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Skedsmo
L W
26.06 14:00 UTC Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Skedsmo 0:1 Sketten
13.06 10:30 UTC Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Skedsmo 2:0 Shervey
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKongsvinger 2 - Skedsmo

Kongsvinger 2
0 matches total
Skedsmo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history