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Norway. Division 3. Group 5
Norway. Division 3. Group 5
01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Norway. Division 3. Group 5

Strømsgodset II - Tromsø II

Football
S
Strømsgodset II
1 : 1
Finished
T
Tromsø II

Strømsgodset II go head-to-head with Tromsø II on August 1, 2026 in the Norway. Division 3. Group 5.

Recent form (W-D-L): Strømsgodset II 0-1-2, Tromsø II 1-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 18% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tromsø II65%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tromsø II): model 41% · market 21% Δ +20 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Strømsgodset II17.5%
market61%
X · draw17.2%
market19%
2 · Tromsø II ✓ Pick65.3%
market21%

Model estimate: win Strømsgodset II 17.5%, draw 17.2%, win Tromsø II 65.3%. Model favourite — Tromsø II.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tromsø II (odds4.40) Score 0:2 confidence 65% ✗ outcome missed
  • liniya na pik P2 2.35→9.00 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Tromse 2: probability 65% vs 23% on the line (odds 4.40)
  • edge over the line +43 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strømsgodset II - Tromsø II August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strømsgodset II.

Line favourite market consensus: Strømsgodset II. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.90 / 2 4.40
  • Glicko: Strømsgodset II 17.5% / X 17.2% / Tromsø II 65.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 60.7%
X 18.6%
2 ✓ Pick 20.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.15 ↑ 9.50
1X2 X 5.00 ↓ 1.14
1X2 2 2.35 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

3. Division - Girone 5
League table
Strømsgodset II
#1017 ptsGP 135-2-627:29
Tromsø II
#147 ptsGP 131-4-821:31
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Strømsgodset II
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.90 Conceded 2.50 xG 1.93 xGA 2.13
Tromsø II
W-D-L 1-3-6 Scored 1.80 Conceded 2.51 xG 1.83 xGA 2.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Strømsgodset II
Rating 1464
Tromsø II
Rating 1359

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Strømsgodset II 3 : 2 Tromsø II
11.74
X4.50
23.30

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 60.7% @ 1.50 / X 18.6% @ 4.90 / 2 20.7% @ 4.40
Match center

Strømsgodset II - Tromsø II

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.143 / LogLoss 1.761
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.143 / LogLoss 1.761
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.143 / LogLoss 1.761
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.143 / LogLoss 1.761
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Strømsgodset II 60.7% 17.5% market favourite
Draw 18.6% 17.2% draw risk
Tromsø II 20.7% 65.3% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 17.5% / 17.2% / 65.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,265 / 1,406 Stromsgodset 2 / Tromso 2
RD 230 / 266 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 805-1,725 / 875-1,938 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 65.3%
X 4.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.50 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 17.5%
Double chance
12 1.14 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 82.8%
1X 1.17 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 34.7%
X2 2.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 82.5%
Handicap
2 0 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.17 85.5%
x2 2.40 41.7%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.24 80.7%
3.60 27.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 1.21 82.6%
Under 2.5 3.90 25.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.50 66.7%
X 4.90 20.4%
4.40 22.7%
Match center
Strømsgodset II
L D L
25.07 11:00 UTC Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Strømsgodset II 1:2 Finnsnes
13.06 10:00 UTC Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Strømsgodset II 2:2 Kharstad
01.06 09:00 UTC Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Strømsgodset II 1:4 Tromse 2
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.7 Conceded
1 Points
Tromsø II
L W
25.07 11:00 UTC Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Tromsø II 1:3 UlfstindUlfstind
01.06 09:00 UTC Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Tromsø II 4:1 Stremsgodset 2
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrømsgodset II - Tromsø II

Strømsgodset II
1 matches total
Tromsø II
Strømsgodset II: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tromsø II: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Tromse 2 1:4 (01.06 09:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 01.06 09:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.06 09:00 UTC Norway: Tretiy Division - Group 5 Standings
Stremsgodset 2
1:4
Tromse 2