AI verdict

AI pick Sakham win probability ~42% confidence Low best odds 2.17

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Sakham. Full breakdown below.

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Oman: Professional League
Oman: Professional League
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
31.08.2026 13:45 UTC
Finished

Oman: Professional League

Al-Samail vs Sakham — Football prediction

Football
A
Al-Samail
1 : 0
Finished
S
Sakham

Al-Samail go head-to-head with Sakham in football, in Oman: Professional League, on 31 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Sakham as the favourite at around 42%. Sportsbook prices (3 books) put that result at roughly 42%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 29%.

Detailed recent-game data is thin here, so the read rests on the PropickAI model and the bookmaker prices. On the Glicko scale the two are essentially level. The game is part of Oman: Professional League.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: the model's 42% for Sakham. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sakham42%

1 · Al-Samail29.4%
X · draw29.0%
2 · Sakham41.6%

Model estimate: win Al-Samail 29.4%, draw 29.0%, win Sakham 41.6%. Model favourite — Sakham.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Double chance Sakham or draw 1.28

Model confidence 71% ~81% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Samail - Sakham August 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sakham.

Line favourite market consensus: Sakham. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.20 / X 3.10 / 2 2.17
  • Glicko: Al-Samail 29.4% / X 29.0% / Sakham 41.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8% 3 books
1 28.5%
X 29.4%
2 42.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Model O/U (market-implied)

Total 2.50 2 books
Over 2.50 41.1%
Under 2.50 58.9%

Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Al-Samail
28%
3.20
Draw
29%
3.10
Sakham
42%
2.17
Handicap
Al-Samail (0)
40%
2.30
Sakham (0)
60%
1.56
Total
Over 2.5
41%
2.25
Under 2.5
59%
1.57

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Al-Samail 1 : 1 Sakham
13.25
X3.00
22.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.08.2026 13:45 UTC
Market 1 28.5% @ 3.20 / X 29.4% @ 3.10 / 2 42.0% @ 2.17
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Sakham 42%
💹 Market Sakham 42%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Al-Samail - Sakham

Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 41.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.755 / LogLoss 1.224
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 41.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.755 / LogLoss 1.224
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Al-Samail 28.5% 29.4%
Draw 29.4% 29.0% draw risk
Sakham 42.2% 41.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 29.4% / 29.0% / 41.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Al-Samail / Sakham
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.16 market consensus · no value · model 41.6%
X 3.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.20 market consensus · no value · model 29.4%
Double chance
12 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 71.0%
1X 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 58.4%
X2 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 70.6%
Handicap
2 0 1.55 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7%
x2 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.16 24.0%
X 1.92 52.1%
2.87 34.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.18 45.9%
Under 1 1.61 62.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Al-Samail - Sakham

Al-Samail
0 matches total
Sakham
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al-Samail vs Sakham?

By the PropickAI model, Sakham is favoured — about 42% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Al-Samail vs Sakham?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Sakham. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Al-Samail vs Sakham?

Live odds for Al-Samail vs Sakham from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Al-Samail vs Sakham start?

August 31, 2026.