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Panama. Liga Panamena
Panama. Liga Panamena
27.07.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

Panama. Liga Panamena

Chorrillo - Tauro (r)

Football
C
Chorrillo
2 : 2
Finished
T
Tauro (r)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chorrillo — 45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chorrillo): model 44% · market 45% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Chorrillo44.8%
X · draw27.5%
2 · Tauro (r)27.7%

Model estimate: win Chorrillo 44.8%, draw 27.5%, win Tauro (r) 27.7%. Model favourite — Chorrillo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.04) Score 1:1 Under 3.5 (odds2.20) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • liniya na pik X 4.50→3.15 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 33% on the line (odds 3.04)
  • • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1
  • • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
  • • at line 3.5 (odds 2.20).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chorrillo - Tauro (r) July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chorrillo.

Strongest: Chorrillo - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.24 / 2 3.35
  • 1X2 market: Chorrillo 44.8% / X 28.0% / Tauro (r) 27.1%
  • Glicko: Chorrillo 44.8% / X 27.5% / Tauro (r) 27.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 44.9%
X 28.0%
2 27.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.50 ↑ 4.80
1X2 X 4.50 ↓ 1.35
1X2 2 5.00 ↑ 7.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Chorrillo 1 : 1 Tauro (r)
12.03
X3.24
23.32

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 23:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Chorrillo 45%
💹 Market Chorrillo 4484%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Chorrillo - Tauro (r)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 44.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.803 / LogLoss 1.291
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 44.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.803 / LogLoss 1.291
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chorrillo 44.9% 44.8% market and model agree
Draw 27.8% 27.5% draw risk
Tauro (r) 27.3% 27.7%
1X2: 12 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.8% / 27.5% / 27.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Chorrillo / Tauro (r)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 27.7%
X 1.18 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.20 Fonbet · no value · model 44.8%
Double chance
12 4.05 Fonbet · weak value +193.6% · model 72.5%
1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 72.3%
X2 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 55.2%
Handicap
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
1.98 50.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.15 31.8%
3.50 28.6% 3.32 30.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.02 98.0% 1.90 52.6%
yes 9.50 10.5% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.29 77.5% 4.05 24.7%
1x 1.27 78.7% 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.72 58.1% 1.07 93.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.50 11.8%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 91.00 1.1%
1_0 6.00 16.7%
1_1 5.75 17.4%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 23.00 4.4%
1_4 67.00 1.5%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 31.00 3.2%
2_4 76.00 1.3%
3_0 15.00 6.7%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
3_2 21.00 4.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChorrillo - Tauro (r)

Chorrillo
0 matches total
Tauro (r)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history