Paraguay. Premier League
Club Guarani face Libertad Asuncion on August 2, 2026 in the Paraguay. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Club Guarani 0-0-2, Libertad Asuncion 2-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 30% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Libertad Asuncion — 40%
Pure model vs market (2 · Libertad Asuncion): model 42% · market 40% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Club Guarani 30.5%, draw 29.6%, win Libertad Asuncion 39.9%. Model favourite — Libertad Asuncion.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Libertad Asuncion.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 1.88 53.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.54 64.9% | 1.55 64.5% |
| x2 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.34 74.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.80 26.3% | |
| X | 1.94 51.6% |
| 3.01 33.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.12 47.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
Club Guarani
San-Lorenso
Sportivo Lukeno
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpiya Asunson
Full head-to-head historyClub Guarani - Libertad Asuncion
The Club Guarani - Libertad Asuncion breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
