Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Atletico Grau - Sport Boys
Atletico Grau meet Sport Boys on August 1, 2026 in the Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Grau 2-2-1, Sport Boys 3-1-1. The market favourite is Atletico Grau at roughly 43%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Atletico Grau — 42%
Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Grau): model 40% · market 43% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Atletico Grau 42.4%, draw 30.1%, win Sport Boys 27.6%. Model favourite — Atletico Grau.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Grau: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atletico Grau - Sport Boys August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Grau.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.05 / 2 3.44
- 1X2 market: Atletico Grau 43.0% / X 30.2% / Sport Boys 26.8%
- Glicko: Atletico Grau 42.4% / X 30.1% / Sport Boys 27.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera DivisiónHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Atletico Grau - Sport Boys
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.18 45.9% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| 3.35 29.9% | 3.56 28.1% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.12 89.3% | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 5.10 19.6% | 2.03 49.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% | 7.80 12.8% |
| x2 | 1.58 63.3% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.01 99.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 2_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_2 | 29.00 3.5% |
Sport Boys
Full head-to-head historyAtletico Grau - Sport Boys
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form