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Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings
01.08.2026 20:30 UTC
Finished

Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings

Atletico Grau - Sport Boys

Football
A
Atletico Grau
0 : 1
Finished
Sport Boys
Sport Boys

Atletico Grau meet Sport Boys on August 1, 2026 in the Peru: Liga 1 - Clausura Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Grau 2-2-1, Sport Boys 3-1-1. The market favourite is Atletico Grau at roughly 43%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Atletico Grau42%

Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Grau): model 40% · market 43% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Atletico Grau42.4%
X · draw30.1%
2 · Sport Boys27.6%

Model estimate: win Atletico Grau 42.4%, draw 30.1%, win Sport Boys 27.6%. Model favourite — Atletico Grau.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletico Grau (odds2.08) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Grau: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Grau - Sport Boys August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Grau.

Strongest: Atletico Grau - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.05 / 2 3.44
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Grau 43.0% / X 30.2% / Sport Boys 26.8%
  • Glicko: Atletico Grau 42.4% / X 30.1% / Sport Boys 27.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 42.9%
X 30.3%
2 26.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Atletico Grau
#1619 ptsGP 195-4-1015:21
Sport Boys
#1023 ptsGP 196-5-817:20
Best price across 13 books
1 2.25 Bet365
X 3.15 10Bet
2 3.65 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atletico Grau
W-D-L 4-0-6 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.05 xGA 1.43 Corners 3.0
Sport Boys
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 0.90 Conceded 0.79 xG 1.25 xGA 1.24 Corners 5.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Atletico Grau
Rating 1494 xG 1.24 Win 44%
Sport Boys
Rating 1512 xG 0.91 Win 27%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Atletico Grau 1 : 1 Sport Boys
12.14
X3.05
23.56

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 20:30 UTC
Market 1 42.9% @ 2.15 / X 30.3% @ 3.05 / 2 26.8% @ 3.44
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Atletico Grau 42%
💹 Market Atletico Grau 4296%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Atletico Grau - Sport Boys

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletico Grau 42.5% 42.4% market and model agree
Draw 30.5% 30.1% draw risk
Sport Boys 27.0% 27.6%
xG - 1.24 : 0.91
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 42.4% / 30.1% / 27.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,533 / 1,616 Atletico Grau / Sport Boys
RD 226 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,081-1,985 / 1,238-1,994 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 27.6%
X 4.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.15 market consensus · no value · model 42.4%
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 69.9%
1X 7.80 Fonbet · weak value +465.0% · model 72.4%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 57.6%
Handicap
2 -1 1.14 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.18 45.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.35 29.9% 3.56 28.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.12 89.3% 1.73 57.8%
yes 5.10 19.6% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7% 7.80 12.8%
x2 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 7.50 13.3%
0_1 7.00 14.3%
0_2 13.00 7.7%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 91.00 1.1%
1_0 5.25 19.1%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 26.00 3.9%
1_4 76.00 1.3%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 91.00 1.1%
3_0 17.00 5.9%
3_1 15.00 6.7%
3_2 29.00 3.5%
Match center
Atletico Grau
L W D D W
2026-07-25 Liga 1 2026, Clausura
Atletico Grau Sport Huancayo 2:0 Atletico Grau
2026-07-18 Liga 1 2026, Clausura
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3:1 UTC Cajamarca
2026-07-09 Copa de La Liga 2026, Knockout Stage
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1:1 Carlos Manucci
2026-06-26 Copa de La Liga 2026, Group D
Atletico Grau Universitario Lima 1:1 Atletico Grau
2026-06-22 Copa de La Liga 2026, Group D
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3:2 Pirata
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Sport Boys
W L W W D
2026-07-25 Liga 1 2026, Clausura
Sport Boys 2:0 Deportiva Tarma Sport Boys
2026-07-19 Liga 1 2026, Clausura
Los Chancas 1:0 Sport Boys Sport Boys
2026-07-11 Copa de La Liga 2026, Knockout Stage
Sport Boys 1:0 Comerciantes Sport Boys
2026-06-28 Copa de La Liga 2026, Group I
Sport Boys 3:0 Academia Cantolao Sport Boys
2026-06-13 Copa de La Liga 2026, Group I
Deportivo Universidad San Martín 2:2 Sport Boys Sport Boys
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Grau - Sport Boys

Atletico Grau
0 matches total
Sport Boys
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history