Peru: Liga 2 Standings
Deportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Universidad San Martín
Deportivo Llacuabamba face Deportivo Universidad San Martín on August 1, 2026 in the Peru: Liga 2 Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Deportivo Llacuabamba 1-2-2, Deportivo Universidad San Martín 2-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Deportivo Llacuabamba — 60%
Pure model vs market (1 · Deportivo Llacuabamba): model 30% · market 76% Δ −46 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Deportivo Llacuabamba 59.9%, draw 22.7%, win Deportivo Universidad San Martín 17.4%. Model favourite — Deportivo Llacuabamba.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Lyakuabamba: probability 50% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.53)
- • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Deportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Universidad San Martín August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Llacuabamba.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / X 7.70 / 2 6.00
- Glicko: Deportivo Llacuabamba 59.9% / X 22.7% / Deportivo Universidad San Martín 17.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Segunda DivisiónAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Deportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Universidad San Martín
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 5.40 18.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| X | 2.19 45.7% |
| 6.30 15.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.90 52.6% |
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Deportivo Universidad San Martín
Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Universidad San Martín
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Deportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Universidad San Martín breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form