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Peru: Liga 2 Standings
Peru: Liga 2 Standings
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Peru: Liga 2 Standings

Deportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Universidad San Martín

Football
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Deportivo Llacuabamba
2 : 0
Finished
Deportivo Universidad San Martín
Deportivo Universidad San Martín

Deportivo Llacuabamba face Deportivo Universidad San Martín on August 1, 2026 in the Peru: Liga 2 Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Deportivo Llacuabamba 1-2-2, Deportivo Universidad San Martín 2-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Deportivo Llacuabamba60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Deportivo Llacuabamba): model 30% · market 76% Δ −46 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Deportivo Llacuabamba59.9%
market76%
X · draw22.7%
market11%
2 · Deportivo Universidad San Martín17.4%
market14%

Model estimate: win Deportivo Llacuabamba 59.9%, draw 22.7%, win Deportivo Universidad San Martín 17.4%. Model favourite — Deportivo Llacuabamba.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Deportivo Llacuabamba (odds1.53) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Lyakuabamba: probability 50% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.53)
  • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Universidad San Martín August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Llacuabamba.

Line favourite Fonbet: Deportivo Llacuabamba. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / X 7.70 / 2 6.00
  • Glicko: Deportivo Llacuabamba 59.9% / X 22.7% / Deportivo Universidad San Martín 17.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 22.2%
1 75.7%
X 10.6%
2 13.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Segunda División
League table
Deportivo Llacuabamba
#219 ptsGP 96-1-214:4
Deportivo Universidad San Martín
#1111 ptsGP 93-2-413:10
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Deportivo Llacuabamba
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.44 Conceded 0.49 xG 1.30 xGA 1.26
Deportivo Universidad San Martín
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.56 Conceded 1.03 xG 1.16 xGA 1.34

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Rating 1594
Deportivo Universidad San Martín
Rating 1507

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportivo Llacuabamba 2 : 1 Deportivo Universidad San Martín
11.44
X3.92
26.57

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 75.7% @ 1.08 / X 10.6% @ 7.70 / 2 13.6% @ 6.00
Match center

Deportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Universidad San Martín

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Deportivo Llacuabamba 61.8% 59.9% market and model agree
Draw 22.8% 22.7% draw risk
Deportivo Universidad San Martín 15.4% 17.4%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 59.9% / 22.7% / 17.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,216 / 1,512 Deportivo Llacuabamba / Deportivo Universidad San Martín
RD 246 / 210 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 725-1,707 / 1,092-1,932 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.80 market consensus · no value · model 17.4%
X 7.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 59.9%
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 77.3%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 82.6%
X2 5.40 Fonbet · no value · model 40.1%
Handicap
2 +1 1.87 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.01 99.0%
x2 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 5.40 18.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.02 49.5%
X 2.19 45.7%
6.30 15.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.80 55.6%
Under 1 1.90 52.6%
Match center
Deportivo Llacuabamba
L D D L W
2026-07-19 Liga 2 2026, Group A
Deportivo Llacuabamba Carlos Manucci 1:0 Deportivo Llacuabamba
2026-06-20 Copa de La Liga 2026, Group C
Deportivo Llacuabamba Cajamarca 1:1 Deportivo Llacuabamba
2026-06-15 Copa de La Liga 2026, Group C
Deportivo Llacuabamba Deportivo Llacuabamba 2:2 UTC Cajamarca
2026-06-01 Liga 2 2026, Group A
Deportivo Llacuabamba Pirata 3:1 Deportivo Llacuabamba
2026-05-24 Liga 2 2026, Group A
Deportivo Llacuabamba Deportivo Llacuabamba 3:0 Academia Cantolao
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Deportivo Universidad San Martín
W L L D W
2026-07-25 Liga 2 2026, Group A
Deportivo Universidad San Martín 2:0 Carlos Manucci Deportivo Universidad San Martín
2026-07-20 Liga 2 2026, Group A
Pirata 3:2 Deportivo Universidad San Martín Deportivo Universidad San Martín
2026-06-20 Copa de La Liga 2026, Group I
Academia Cantolao 4:3 Deportivo Universidad San Martín Deportivo Universidad San Martín
2026-06-13 Copa de La Liga 2026, Group I
Deportivo Universidad San Martín 2:2 Sport Boys Deportivo Universidad San Martín
2026-05-31 Liga 2 2026, Group A
Academia Cantolao 0:4 Deportivo Universidad San Martín Deportivo Universidad San Martín
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Universidad San Martín

Deportivo Llacuabamba
1 matches total
Deportivo Universidad San Martín
Deportivo Llacuabamba: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Deportivo Universidad San Martín: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Deportivo Llacuabamba 0:1 (2026-04-18) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 2026-04-18) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

2026-04-18 Liga 2 2026, Group A
Deportivo Universidad San Martín 0:1 Deportivo Llacuabamba