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Poland. League 2
Poland. League 2
31.07.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Poland. League 2

Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy

Football
S
Stal Stalowa Wola
0 : 0
Finished
G
GKS Tychy
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 GKS Tychy — 37%

Pure model vs market (2 · GKS Tychy): model 30% · market 51% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Stal Stalowa Wola36.3%
X · draw26.6%
2 · GKS Tychy37.1%

Model estimate: win Stal Stalowa Wola 36.3%, draw 26.6%, win GKS Tychy 37.1%. Model favourite — GKS Tychy.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Stal Stalowa Wola (odds2.30) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Stal Stalova: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like GKS Tychy.

Line favourite Fonbet: GKS Tychy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.20 / X 1.30 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Stal Stalowa Wola 36.3% / X 26.6% / GKS Tychy 37.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 90.1%
1 8.5%
X 40.5%
2 51.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

II Liga - East
League table
Stal Stalowa Wola
#33 ptsGP 11-0-02:0
ARRAY
GKS Tychy
#53 ptsGP 11-0-01:0
ARRAY
Best price across 12 books
1 2.90 Bet365
X 3.45 Pinnacle
2 2.50 SBO

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 8.5% @ 6.20 / X 40.5% @ 1.30 / 2 51.1% @ 1.03
Match center

Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 37.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.808 / LogLoss 1.324
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 37.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.808 / LogLoss 1.324
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Stal Stalowa Wola 35.5% 36.3%
Draw 26.9% 26.6% draw risk
GKS Tychy 37.6% 37.1% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 36.3% / 26.6% / 37.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,700 / 1,626 Stal Stalowa Wola / GKS Tychy
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,118-2,283 / 1,044-2,209 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 37.1%
X 1.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.20 Fonbet · no value · model 36.3%
Double chance
12 3.10 Fonbet · weak value +127.5% · model 73.4%
1X 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +434.6% · model 62.9%
X2 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 63.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 2.14 46.7%
yes 3.10 32.3% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.27 78.7% 3.10 32.3%
1x 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 8.50 11.8%
x2 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.10 90.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.38 29.6%
X 2.13 47.0%
2.90 34.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.74 57.5%
Under 1 1.98 50.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-1, avg 0.5 gls
2025-04-09 · Stal Staleva-Volya 0:1 GKS Tykhy
2024-09-22 · Stal Staleva-Volya 0:0 GKS Tykhy
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.85 (Betcity) · X 3.35 (Pari) · 2 2.6 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.35 3.35 2.6
Winline 2.8 3.3 2.28
Fonbet 2.35 3.35 2.6
Betcity 2.85 3.3 2.25
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Stal Stalowa Wola
W W W D W
2026-07-25 II Liga 26/27
Stal Stalowa Wola Legia Warsaw 2 0:2 Stal Stalowa Wola
2026-05-30 II Liga 25/26
Stal Stalowa Wola Hutnik Krakow 0:1 Stal Stalowa Wola
2026-05-23 II Liga 25/26
Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 3:0 GKS Jastrzebie Zdroj
2026-05-15 II Liga 25/26
Stal Stalowa Wola Resovia Rzeszow 2:2 Stal Stalowa Wola
2026-05-08 II Liga 25/26
Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 3:0 Sokol Kleczew
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
GKS Tychy
W D D W D
2026-07-26 II Liga 26/27
Chojniczanka Chojnice 0:1 GKS Tychy GKS Tychy
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
GKS Tychy 2:2 Povazska Bystrica GKS Tychy
2026-07-08 Club Friendly Games 2026
GKS Tychy 2:2 Sparta Katowice GKS Tychy
2026-07-04 Club Friendly Games 2026
Odra Opole 0:1 GKS Tychy GKS Tychy
2026-05-24 1. Liga 25/26
GKS Tychy 3:3 Stal Rzeszow GKS Tychy
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points