Poland. League 2
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Znicz Pruszkow — 49%
Pure model vs market (1 · Znicz Pruszkow): model 63% · market 54% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Znicz Pruszkow 48.8%, draw 25.0%, win Legia Warsaw 2 26.3%. Model favourite — Znicz Pruszkow.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Znicz Pruszkow.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.30 76.9% | 2.23 44.8% |
| yes | 3.10 32.3% | 1.58 63.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% | 2.85 35.1% |
| 1x | 1.24 80.7% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 9.50 10.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.49 40.2% | |
| X | 2.18 45.9% |
| 3.98 25.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.11 47.4% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2 | 3.45 | 3.1 |
| Winline | 2.09 | 3.35 | 3.1 |
| Fonbet | 2 | 3.45 | 3.1 |
| Betcity | 2.35 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
Full head-to-head historyZnicz Pruszkow - Legia Warsaw 2
The Znicz Pruszkow - Legia Warsaw 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
