Poland. League 2
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Znicz Pruszkow — 49%
Pure model vs market (1 · Znicz Pruszkow): model 63% · market 54% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Znicz Pruszkow 48.8%, draw 25.0%, win Legia Warsaw 2 26.3%. Model favourite — Znicz Pruszkow.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Znicz Pruszkow.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.30 76.9% | 2.23 44.8% |
| yes | 3.10 32.3% | 1.58 63.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% | 2.85 35.1% |
| 1x | 1.24 80.7% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 9.50 10.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.49 40.2% | |
| X | 2.18 45.9% |
| 3.98 25.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.11 47.4% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2 | 3.45 | 3.1 |
| Winline | 2.09 | 3.35 | 3.1 |
| Fonbet | 2 | 3.45 | 3.1 |
| Betcity | 2.35 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
Full head-to-head historyZnicz Pruszkow - Legia Warsaw 2
The Znicz Pruszkow - Legia Warsaw 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
