Poland: First Division Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 LKS Lodz — 54%
Pure model vs market (1 · LKS Lodz): model 40% · market 70% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win LKS Lodz 53.6%, draw 24.9%, win Polonia Bytom 21.6%. Model favourite — LKS Lodz.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LKS Lodz.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.60 38.5% | 1.84 54.4% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | 9.00 11.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 2.20 45.5% |
| 5.20 19.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.66 37.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.68 | 3.85 | 4.2 |
| Winline | 1.73 | 3.7 | 3.95 |
| Fonbet | 1.68 | 3.85 | 4.2 |
| Betcity | 1.72 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4 |
Polonia Bytom
Full head-to-head historyLKS Lodz - Polonia Bytom
The LKS Lodz - Polonia Bytom breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
