Match center
Start
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
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27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished
Poland: First Division Standings
Miedz Legnica - Podbeskidze
1
:
1
Finished
P
Podbeskidze
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Miedz Legnica — 46%
Pure model vs market (1 · Miedz Legnica): model 32% · market 9% Δ +23 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Miedz Legnica 46.5%, draw 23.6%, win Podbeskidze 29.9%. Model favourite — Miedz Legnica.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Xdraw (odds3.74)
Score 1:1
confidence 50%
✓ outcome correct · exact score
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 27% on the line (odds 3.74)
- • edge over the line +23 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Miedz Legnica - Podbeskidze July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 10.50 / X 1.10 / 2 12.00
- Glicko: Miedz Legnica 46.5% / X 23.6% / Podbeskidze 29.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.8%
1
8.8%
X
83.6%
2
7.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Miedz Legnica
1
:
2
Podbeskidze
12.05
X3.42
23.14
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Miedz Legnica - Podbeskidze
Form
0/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 46.5% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.890 / LogLoss 1.445
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 46.5% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.890 / LogLoss 1.445
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Miedz Legnica
47.4%
46.5%
market and model agree
Draw
23.7%
23.6%
draw risk
Podbeskidze
28.9%
29.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
46.5% / 23.6% / 29.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,753
Miedz Legnica / Podbeskidze
RD
350 / 256
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 1,241-2,266
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.27
market consensus · no value · model 29.9%
X
1.10
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.94
market consensus · no value · model 46.5%
Double chance
12
5.60
Fonbet · weak value +327.9% · model 76.4%
1X
1.02
Fonbet · no value · model 70.1%
X2
1.03
Fonbet · no value · model 53.5%
Handicap
2 +0.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.15
Fonbet · line only
2 0
2.07
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.88
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Yes
5.40
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.10 90.9% | 2.22 45.1% |
| yes | 5.40 18.5% | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 5.60 17.9% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.03 97.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| X | 2.35 42.6% |
| 3.88 25.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.47 40.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
Miedz LegnicaDWDLLWWLWW
PodbeskidzeDWDWWWDWWW
H2H 1-2-0, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-27 · Medz Legnitsa 1:1 Podbeskidze
2024-05-13 · Medz Legnitsa 6:1 Podbeskidze
2023-11-12 · Medz Legnitsa 0:0 Podbeskidze
Source: ruscore
Odds · 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 2.05 (Betcity) · X 3.8 (Betcity) · 2 3.2 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.95 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Winline | 2.04 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Fonbet | 1.95 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Betcity | 2.05 | 3.8 | 3 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Match stats
3
Cards total
1
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
0
Second yellows
0
5
Substitutions
5
Source: ruscore
Podbeskidze
W
W
Podbeskidze
3:1
Sandetsya
Podbeskidze
2:1
Shlensk Vrotslav II
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMiedz Legnica - Podbeskidze
Miedz Legnica
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Miedz Legnica - Podbeskidze breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form