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Poland: Premier League Standings
Poland: Premier League Standings
02.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
02.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Poland: Premier League Standings

Cracovia Krakow - Pogon Szczecin

Football
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 0
Finished
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin

Cracovia Krakow meet Pogon Szczecin on August 2, 2026 in the Poland: Premier League Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cracovia Krakow 0-1-0, Pogon Szczecin 0-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 43% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Cracovia Krakow — 43%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cracovia Krakow): model 54% · market 42% Δ +12 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Cracovia Krakow42.5%
X · draw32.7%
2 · Pogon Szczecin24.8%

Model estimate: win Cracovia Krakow 42.5%, draw 32.7%, win Pogon Szczecin 24.8%. Model favourite — Cracovia Krakow.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Cracovia Krakow (odds2.27) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Krakoviya: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.27)
  • • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cracovia Krakow - Pogon Szczecin August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pogon Szczecin.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pogon Szczecin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.24 / X 6.60 / 2 1.04
  • Glicko: Cracovia Krakow 42.5% / X 32.7% / Pogon Szczecin 24.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7% 3 books
1 41.8%
X 33.4%
2 24.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cracovia Krakow 2 : 1 Pogon Szczecin
12.03
X3.38
23.23

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 28.6% @ 2.24 / X 9.7% @ 6.60 / 2 61.7% @ 1.04
Match center

Cracovia Krakow - Pogon Szczecin

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 42.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.696 / LogLoss 1.118
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 42.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.696 / LogLoss 1.118
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cracovia Krakow 41.8% 42.5% market and model agree
Draw 33.4% 32.7% draw risk
Pogon Szczecin 24.8% 24.8%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 42.5% / 32.7% / 24.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,578 / 1,374 Cracovia Krakow / Pogon Szczecin
RD 292 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 995-2,161 / 791-1,956 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 24.8%
X 6.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.22 market consensus · no value · model 42.5%
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 67.3%
1X 7.60 Fonbet · weak value +471.7% · model 75.2%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 57.5%
Handicap
2 -1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.13 88.5% 1.84 54.4%
yes 5.20 19.2% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 7.60 13.2%
x2 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.95 33.9%
X 2.01 49.8%
4.12 24.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.15 46.5%
Under 1 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Cracovia Krakow
D
25.07 16:15 UTC Poland: Premier League Standings
Cracovia Krakow 0:0 LekhLekh
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Pogon Szczecin
L
24.07 16:30 UTC Poland: Premier League Standings
Pogon Szczecin 0:1 LegiyaLegiya
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points