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Poland: Premier League Standings
Poland: Premier League Standings
1-y Round 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC 1-y Round
Finished

Poland: Premier League Standings

Zaglembe - Piast Gliwice

Football
Stadium Zaglembe (Lyubin, Poland), vmestimost: 16068
Z
Zaglembe
2 : 0
Finished
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Piast Gliwice — 37%

Pure model vs market (2 · Piast Gliwice): model 33% · market 27% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Zaglembe34.3%
X · draw28.7%
2 · Piast Gliwice37.0%

Model estimate: win Zaglembe 34.3%, draw 28.7%, win Piast Gliwice 37.0%. Model favourite — Piast Gliwice.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.31) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.31)
  • • edge over the line +20 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zaglembe - Piast Gliwice July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zaglembe.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zaglembe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.19 / X 4.60 / 2 2.60
  • Glicko: Zaglembe 34.3% / X 28.7% / Piast Gliwice 37.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 44.2%
1 58.3%
X 15.1%
2 26.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Zaglembe 1 : 1 Piast Gliwice
12.81
X3.14
22.47

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
149 predictions Choose an outcome
1 41% 38
X 42% 39
2 16% 15
Double chance 1X 1.51 (5) - 12 1.33 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.86 (15)
Total TB 2.5 2.20 (3) - TB 2 1.61 (2) - TB 4 7.20 (1)
total_t1_under total_t1_over:1 1.85 (2) - total_t2_over:1_5 2.59 (2) - total_t1_over:1_5 2.83 (1)
Match center
Stadium Zaglembe (Lyubin, Poland), vmestimost: 16068
Start 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Draw 42%
📐 Math model Piast Gliwice 37%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Zaglembe - Piast Gliwice

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Zaglembe L - Pyast, 27 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Polshi po futbolu (Ekstraklassa) 2027, 1 round. Zaglembe L - Pyast, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 92 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 37.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.651 / LogLoss 1.071
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 37.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.651 / LogLoss 1.071
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zaglembe 33.6% 34.3%
Draw 29.1% 28.7% draw risk
Piast Gliwice 37.3% 37.0% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.3% / 28.7% / 37.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Zaglembe / Piast Gliwice
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.53 market consensus · no value · model 37.0%
X 4.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 34.3%
Double chance
12 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 71.3%
1X 1.48 market consensus · no value · model 63.0%
X2 4.15 Fonbet · weak value +172.7% · model 65.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.52 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.78 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.82 55.0%
yes 3.95 25.3% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.49 67.1% 1.46 68.5% —
x2 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 4.15 24.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.55 28.2%
X 2.03 49.3%
3.28 30.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.15 46.5%
Under 1 1.63 61.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

ZaglembeWWLLWWLLWD
Piast GliwiceLDWWLLLDDW
H2H 3-2-4, avg 2.11 gls
2026-07-27 · Zaglembe Lyubin 2:0 Pyast Glivitse
2026-03-07 · Zaglembe Lyubin 3:1 Pyast Glivitse
2025-08-30 · Zaglembe Lyubin 2:2 Pyast Glivitse
2025-03-01 · Zaglembe Lyubin 0:1 Pyast Glivitse
2024-08-24 · Zaglembe Lyubin 0:1 Pyast Glivitse
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.8 (Pari) · X 3.3 (Betcity) · 2 2.5 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.8 3.2 2.5
Winline 2.8 3.15 2.46
Fonbet 2.8 3.2 2.5
Betcity 2.8 3.3 2.48
Liga Stavok 2.75 3.1 2.46
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

38 Ball possession 62
12 Vsego udarov 17
2 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 12
16 Udary ot vorot 13
4 Blokirovannye udary 2
15 Shtrafnye 18
5 Corners 11
1 Offsides 2
16 Auty 14
3 Saves 1
17 Fouls 13
1 Cards total 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
1 Travmy 3
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Zaglembe
D D D
23.05.2026 Championat
Zaglembe 23.05.2026 Poland — Ekstraklassa Yagelloniya 1 : 0 Zaglembe L 34-y Round
15.05.2026 Championat
Zaglembe 15.05.2026 Poland — Ekstraklassa Zaglembe L 0 : 1 Pogon 33-y Round
09.05.2026 Championat
Zaglembe 09.05.2026 Poland — Ekstraklassa Gurnik Z 0 : 2 Zaglembe L 32-y Round
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0 Points
Piast Gliwice
D D D
03.05.2026 Championat
03.05.2026 Poland — Ekstraklassa Zaglembe L 0 Krakoviya 31-y Round Piast Gliwice
24.04.2026 Championat
24.04.2026 Poland — Ekstraklassa Zaglembe L 1 : 2 Netsecha 30-y Round 1 Wins 1 Draws 3 Losses 0.6 Scored 0.6 Conceded 12+2 Kartochki 0 +1 0 +2 0 -1 0 -1 15 30 45 60 75 Piast Gliwice
23.05.2026 Championat
23.05.2026 Poland — Ekstraklassa Vidzev 2 : 1 Piast Gliwice
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZaglembe - Piast Gliwice

Zaglembe
0 matches total
Piast Gliwice
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Zaglembe
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Piast Gliwice
Zaglembe Team comparison Piast Gliwice
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Zaglembe L Pyast 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 12.12.2026 Poland — Ekstraklassa Pyast –:– Zaglembe L 18 round Goly Yakub Sypek Mateush Gzhybek 1:0 72' Martsel Regula Yakub Sypek 2:0 86' Nakazaniya Kenten Buagar 68' Filip Shimchak 90+9'