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Premier League
Premier League England
12.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Arsenal - Brentford

England Football
Arsenal
Arsenal
1 : 1
Finished
Brentford
Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Brentford April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 4.04 / 2 5.28
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 57.7% / X 24.0% / Brentford 18.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 57.7%
X 24.0%
2 18.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Arsenal - Brentford

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.28 market consensus · line only
X 4.04 market consensus · line only
1 1.68 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.68 59.5%
X 4.04 24.8%
5.28 18.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.29 43.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.19 84.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 2.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.28 78.1%
3.99 25.1%
Match center
Arsenal
D W D L W
05.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 EvertonEverton
01.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:1 FulhamFulham
27.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 LiverpulLiverpul
19.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 0:2 BournemouthBournemouth
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Brentford
D L W L W
06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:3 IpswichIpswich
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 5:3 WolvesWolves
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Brentford

Arsenal
0 matches total
Brentford
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history