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Premier League
Premier League England
03.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Arsenal - Brentford

England Football
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 : 0
Finished
Brentford
Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Brentford December 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.56 / 2 7.72
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 66.6% / X 21.0% / Brentford 12.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%
1 66.6%
X 21.0%
2 12.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 51.0%
Under 2.5 49.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Arsenal - Brentford

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.71 market consensus · line only
X 4.56 market consensus · line only
1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.30 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.47 68.0%
X 4.50 22.2%
7.56 13.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.70 21.3% 4.81 20.8% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.40 22.7%
8.00 12.5% 7.00 14.3% 8.20 12.2% 7.50 13.3% 7.50 13.3% 7.70 13.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5% 1.82 55.0%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.80 35.7% 2.94 34.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.84 35.2%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Arsenal
D W D W W
30.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
23.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
08.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 SunderlandSunderland
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Brentford
W L W L W
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:1 BurnleyBurnley
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 BrightonBrighton
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:1 NyukaslNyukasl
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
25.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:2 LiverpulLiverpul
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Brentford

Arsenal
1 matches total
Brentford
Arsenal: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Brentford: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 12.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (12.04 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

12.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal
1:1
Brentford