Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Premier League
Premier League England
27.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Arsenal - Brighton

England Football
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 : 1
Finished
Brighton
Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Brighton December 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 5.10 / 2 8.19
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 69.6% / X 18.7% / Brighton 11.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 69.6%
X 18.7%
2 11.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 60.9%
Under 2.5 39.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 27.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Arsenal - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.22 market consensus · line only
X 5.11 market consensus · line only
1 1.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.16 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.95 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.38 72.5%
X 5.19 19.3%
8.61 11.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%
X 5.10 19.6% 5.30 18.9% 5.28 18.9% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.10 19.6%
8.50 11.8% 7.70 13.0% 8.40 11.9% 7.50 13.3% 7.00 14.3% 8.50 11.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.99 50.3%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.10 32.3% 3.14 31.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Arsenal
W W L W D
20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:0 EvertonEverton
13.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:1 WolvesWolves
06.12 12:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:0 BrentfordBrentford
30.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Brighton
D L D L W
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:0 SunderlandSunderland
13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:2 LiverpulLiverpul
07.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 West HamWest Ham
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:4 Aston VillaAston Villa
30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Brighton

Arsenal
0 matches total
Brighton
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history