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Premier League
Premier League England
01.03.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Arsenal - Chelsea

England Football
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 : 1
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Arsenal meet Chelsea on March 1, 2026 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): Arsenal 3-2-0, Chelsea 3-2-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Arsenal the favourite at about 63%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Chelsea March 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 4.38 / 2 6.20
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 62.8% / X 21.8% / Chelsea 15.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 62.8%
X 21.8%
2 15.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 56.0%
Under 2.5 44.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.03.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 62.8% @ 1.52 / X 21.8% @ 4.38 / 2 15.4% @ 6.20
Match center

Arsenal - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.22 market consensus · line only
X 4.39 market consensus · line only
1 1.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.33 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.54 64.9%
X 4.50 22.2%
6.50 15.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.49 67.1% 1.51 66.2% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.65 21.5% 4.56 21.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.35 23.0%
6.00 16.7% 6.10 16.4% 6.59 15.2% 5.75 17.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Arsenal
W D D W W
22.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
18.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 WolvesWolves
12.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 BrentfordBrentford
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:0 SunderlandSunderland
31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:0 LeedsLeeds
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Chelsea
D D W W W
21.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:1 BurnleyBurnley
10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:2 LeedsLeeds
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:1 WolvesWolves
31.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:2 West HamWest Ham
25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Chelsea

Arsenal
1 matches total
Chelsea
Arsenal: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Chelsea: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 30.11 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (30.11 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

30.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal
1:1
Chelsea