Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Premier League
Premier League England
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
23.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Arsenal - Crystal Palace

England Football
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 : 2
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Arsenal go head-to-head with Crystal Palace on April 23, 2025 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): Arsenal 2-3-0, Crystal Palace 1-2-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Arsenal, an implied 69% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Crystal Palace April 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 4.92 / 2 8.85
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 69.3% / X 19.7% / Crystal Palace 11.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 69.3%
X 19.7%
2 11.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 53.0%
Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 23.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 69.3% @ 1.40 / X 19.7% @ 4.92 / 2 11.0% @ 8.85
Match center

Arsenal - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.85 market consensus · line only
X 4.92 market consensus · line only
1 1.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.40 71.4%
X 4.92 20.3%
8.85 11.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.22 31.1%
home_away 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 2.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.12 89.3%
7.16 14.0%
Match center
Arsenal
W D D W D
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:0 IpswichIpswich
12.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 BrentfordBrentford
05.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 EvertonEverton
01.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:1 FulhamFulham
27.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 LiverpulLiverpul
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Crystal Palace
D L L W D
19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 BournemouthBournemouth
16.04 18:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:5 NyukaslNyukasl
12.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:5 Manchester CityManchester City
05.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 BrightonBrighton
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Crystal Palace

Arsenal
0 matches total
Crystal Palace
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history