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Premier League England

08.01.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

08.01.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Arsenal - Liverpool

England Football

Arsenal

0 : 0

Finished

Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Liverpool January 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.21 / 2 5.66
1X2 market: Arsenal 60.4% / X 22.7% / Liverpool 16.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 60.4%

X 22.7%

2 16.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%

Over 2.5 52.8%

Under 2.5 47.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 08.01.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Arsenal - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.68 market consensus · line only

X 4.22 market consensus · line only

1 1.58 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.41 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.43 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.86 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.18 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.91 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.58 63.3%
X	4.33 23.1%
	5.94 16.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.57 63.7%	1.59 62.9%	1.64 61.0%	1.55 64.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%
X	4.10 24.4%	4.30 23.3%	4.37 22.9%	4.10 24.4%	4.30 23.3%	4.33 23.1%
	5.60 17.9%	5.60 17.9%	5.69 17.6%	6.00 16.7%	5.90 17.0%	5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.88 53.2%	1.96 51.0%	1.90 52.6%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.82 55.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	2.38 42.0%	2.41 41.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.42 41.3%	2.41 41.5%	2.53 39.5%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.12 89.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.16 86.2%	1.16 86.2%

Match center

Arsenal

W W W W W

03.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 3:2 Bournemouth

30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 4:1 Aston Villa

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:1 Brighton

20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Everton

13.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:1 Wolves

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

15 Points

Liverpool

D D W W W

04.01 15:15 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:2 Fulham

01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 0:0 Leeds

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:1 Wolves

20.12 17:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:1 Tottenkhem

13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:0 Brighton

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Liverpool

Arsenal

3 matches total

Liverpool

Arsenal: 0 (0%)

Draws:2 (66.7%)

Liverpool: 1 (33.3%)

Biggest win Liverpul 0:1 (31.08 15:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 11.05 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (11.05 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 4

Match history

31.08 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Arsenal

0:1

Liverpul

11.05 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Arsenal

2:2

Liverpul

27.10 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Arsenal

2:2

Liverpul