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Premier League England

25.01.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

25.01.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Arsenal - Manchester United

England Football

Arsenal

2 : 3

Finished

Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Manchester United January 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.35 / 2 5.76
1X2 market: Arsenal 61.4% / X 22.0% / Manchester United 16.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 61.4%

X 22.0%

2 16.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 56.7%

Under 2.5 43.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 25.01.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

Arsenal - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.78 market consensus · line only

X 4.36 market consensus · line only

1 1.56 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.45 market consensus · line only

12 1.22 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.49 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.96 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.17 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.02 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.56 64.1%
X	4.60 21.7%
	6.05 16.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.54 64.9%	1.54 64.9%	1.61 62.1%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%
X	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.58 21.8%	4.00 25.0%	4.50 22.2%	4.55 22.0%
	5.70 17.5%	5.90 17.0%	5.74 17.4%	5.00 20.0%	5.75 17.4%	5.80 17.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.05 48.8%	2.01 49.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.07 48.3%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.81 55.3%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.40 41.7%	2.48 40.3%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.47 40.5%	2.48 40.3%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.23 81.3%
home_draw	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%