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Start
06.12.2025 12:30 UTC
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06.12.2025 12:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Aston Villa - Arsenal
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aston Villa - Arsenal December 6, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.29 / X 3.49 / 2 1.91
- 1X2 market: Aston Villa 22.4% / X 27.5% / Arsenal 50.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.3%
1
22.3%
X
27.5%
2
50.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5
46.5%
Under 2.5
53.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Aston Villa - Arsenal
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.91
market consensus · line only
X
3.49
market consensus · line only
1
4.30
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.23
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.93
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.22
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.03
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.64
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.89
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.87
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 4.43 22.6% | |
| X | 3.52 28.4% |
| 1.94 51.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.30 23.3% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.45 22.5% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.33 23.1% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 1.87 53.5% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.84 54.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_draw | 1.90 52.6% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
Match center
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Draws
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Losses
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Conceded
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Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Arsenal
Aston Villa
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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