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Premier League
Premier League England
31.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Aston Villa - Crystal Palace

England Football
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
0 : 3
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aston Villa - Crystal Palace August 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.44 / 2 3.80
  • 1X2 market: Aston Villa 47.1% / X 27.8% / Crystal Palace 25.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 47.1%
X 27.8%
2 25.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 47.5%
Under 2.5 52.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Match center

Aston Villa - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 2.03 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.67 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.06 48.5%
X 3.46 28.9%
3.95 25.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.59 27.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.95 25.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Aston Villa
L D L W W
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:1 BrentfordBrentford
16.08 11:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:0 NyukaslNyukasl
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
16.05 18:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
10.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:0 BournemouthBournemouth
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Crystal Palace
D D D W W
24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 4:2 WolvesWolves
11.05 13:15 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points