Premier League
Aston Villa - Manchester City
Aston Villa face Manchester City on October 26, 2025 in the Premier League, England.
Recent form (W-D-L): Aston Villa 3-2-0, Manchester City 4-1-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Manchester City the favourite at about 54%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aston Villa - Manchester City October 26, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.41 / X 3.93 / 2 1.77
- 1X2 market: Aston Villa 21.8% / X 24.4% / Manchester City 53.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Aston Villa - Manchester City
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 4.60 21.7% | |
| X | 3.95 25.3% |
| 1.78 56.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.33 23.1% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.42 22.6% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.65 21.5% | |
| X | 3.85 26.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.18 23.9% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.05 24.7% |
| 1.76 56.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.28 43.9% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.68 59.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.11 47.4% |
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Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Manchester City
Overall statistics
Match history
Manchester City
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form