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Premier League
Premier League England
13.09.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
13.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Brighton

England Football
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
2 : 1
Finished
Brighton
Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Brighton September 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / X 3.50 / 2 2.90
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 40.3% / X 27.1% / Brighton 32.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 40.3%
X 27.1%
2 32.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 58.7%
Under 2.5 41.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.35 42.6%
X 3.50 28.6%
2.90 34.5%

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Bet365
no 2.38 42.0%
yes 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Bournemouth
W W L W L
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:0 WolvesWolves
15.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:4 LiverpulLiverpul
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:0 Leicester
20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:3 Manchester CityManchester City
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Brighton
W L D W W
31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:1 Manchester CityManchester City
24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:2 EvertonEverton
16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 FulhamFulham
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 4:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
19.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:2 LiverpulLiverpul
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Brighton

Bournemouth
0 matches total
Brighton
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history