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Premier League
Premier League England
07.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Tottenham

England Football
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
3 : 2
Finished
Tottenham
Tottenham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Tottenham January 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.55 / 2 3.30
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 44.1% / X 26.9% / Tottenham 29.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 44.1%
X 26.9%
2 29.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 54.6%
Under 2.5 45.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Tottenham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.31 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 2.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.20 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.28 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.18 45.9%
X 3.65 27.4%
3.39 29.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.64 27.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6%
3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.38 29.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.30 43.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.27 44.1%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Bournemouth
L D L D D
03.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:3 ArsenalArsenal
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:2 ChelseaChelsea
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:4 BrentfordBrentford
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:1 BurnleyBurnley
15.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 4:4 Manchester UnitedManchester United
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.8 Conceded
3 Points
Tottenham
D D W L L
04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:1 SunderlandSunderland
01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:0 BrentfordBrentford
28.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
20.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:2 LiverpulLiverpul
14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Tottenham

Bournemouth
1 matches total
Tottenham
Bournemouth: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tottenham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Bournemouth 1:0 (30.08 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 30.08 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth
1:0
Tottenkhem