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Premier League
Premier League England
23.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Bournemouth - Wolves

England Football
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
1 : 0
Finished
Wolves
Wolves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bournemouth - Wolves August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.81 / X 3.75 / 2 4.42
  • 1X2 market: Bournemouth 52.8% / X 25.5% / Wolves 21.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 52.8%
X 25.5%
2 21.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 51.7%
Under 2.5 48.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Bournemouth - Wolves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.44 market consensus · line only
X 3.75 market consensus · line only
1 1.81 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.22 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.81 55.3%
X 3.82 26.2%
4.67 21.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.86 25.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.85 26.0%
4.10 24.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.57 21.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.99 50.3% 2.11 47.4%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.93 51.8% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Bournemouth
L W L L W
15.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:4 LiverpulLiverpul
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:0 Leicester
20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:3 Manchester CityManchester City
10.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
03.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:1 ArsenalArsenal
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Wolves
L D L L L
16.08 16:30 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:4 Manchester CityManchester City
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:1 BrentfordBrentford
20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:4 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:2 BrightonBrighton
02.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:1 Manchester CityManchester City
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Wolves

Bournemouth
0 matches total
Wolves
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history