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Premier League
Premier League England
12.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Arsenal

England Football
Brentford
Brentford
1 : 1
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Arsenal February 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.37 / X 3.87 / 2 1.66
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 17.8% / X 24.7% / Arsenal 57.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 17.8%
X 24.7%
2 57.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.66 market consensus · line only
X 3.87 market consensus · line only
1 5.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.16 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.14 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.62 17.8%
X 3.96 25.3%
1.67 59.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.00 20.0% 5.60 17.9% 5.54 18.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.40 18.5%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.95 25.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
1.66 60.2% 1.64 61.0% 1.71 58.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.11 90.1%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.15 46.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5%
Match center
Brentford
W W L L W
07.02 17:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:2 NyukaslNyukasl
01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 ChelseaChelsea
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:0 SunderlandSunderland
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Arsenal
W W L D D
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:0 SunderlandSunderland
31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:0 LeedsLeeds
25.01 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
17.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 0:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
08.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 0:0 LiverpulLiverpul
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Arsenal

Brentford
2 matches total
Arsenal
Brentford: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Arsenal: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Arsenal 0:2 (03.12 19:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 03.12 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (12.04 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford
0:2
Arsenal
12.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford
1:1
Arsenal