Match center
Start
23.08.2025 14:00 UTC
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23.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Brentford - Aston Villa
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Brentford - Aston Villa August 23, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.
Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.22 / X 3.43 / 2 2.24
- 1X2 market: Brentford 29.6% / X 27.8% / Aston Villa 42.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
29.6%
X
27.8%
2
42.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Brentford - Aston Villa
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.24
market consensus · line only
X
3.44
market consensus · line only
1
3.23
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.36
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.66
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.40
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.13
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.18
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.44
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.07
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.71
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.28 30.5% | |
| X | 3.57 28.0% |
| 2.26 44.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.26 30.7% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.53 28.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 2.22 45.1% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.27 44.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.16 46.3% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.74 57.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.62 61.7% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% |
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Match center
Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Aston Villa
Brentford
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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