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Premier League
Premier League England
19.04.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Brighton

England Football
Brentford
Brentford
4 : 2
Finished
Brighton
Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Brighton April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.67 / 2 2.74
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 37.9% / X 26.5% / Brighton 35.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 37.9%
X 26.5%
2 35.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.74 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 2.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.57 38.9%
X 3.67 27.3%
2.74 36.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.44 41.0%
Under 3.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.88 53.2%
1.99 50.3%
Match center
Brentford
D D L W L
12.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:3 IpswichIpswich
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Brighton
D L L D W
12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 Leicester
05.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 WolvesWolves
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Brighton

Brentford
0 matches total
Brighton
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history