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Premier League
Premier League England
13.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Chelsea

England Football
Brentford
Brentford
2 : 2
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Chelsea September 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.16 / X 3.78 / 2 1.85
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 23.0% / X 25.3% / Chelsea 51.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 23.0%
X 25.3%
2 51.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 54.9%
Under 2.5 45.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 market consensus · line only
X 3.79 market consensus · line only
1 4.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.98 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.31 23.2%
X 3.91 25.6%
1.85 54.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.95 25.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.16 24.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.05 24.7%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.88 25.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.17 46.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 2.04 49.0%
Match center
Brentford
L W L D L
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 SunderlandSunderland
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 WolvesWolves
18.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:3 FulhamFulham
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Chelsea
W W D W W
30.08 11:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:0 FulhamFulham
22.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 5:1 West HamWest Ham
17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
16.05 19:15 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Chelsea

Brentford
1 matches total
Chelsea
Brentford: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Chelsea: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (06.04 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford
0:0
Chelsea