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Premier League
Premier League England
07.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Sunderland

England Football
Brentford
Brentford
3 : 0
Finished
Sunderland
Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Sunderland January 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.47 / 2 4.63
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 51.7% / X 27.6% / Sunderland 20.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 51.7%
X 27.6%
2 20.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 42.1%
Under 2.5 57.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Sunderland

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.64 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 1.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.98 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.86 53.8%
X 3.54 28.3%
4.77 21.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.59 27.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
4.20 23.8% 4.90 20.4% 4.82 20.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.90 20.4% 4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.03 49.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Brentford
W D W W D
04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:2 EvertonEverton
01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:1 BournemouthBournemouth
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:0 WolvesWolves
14.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 LeedsLeeds
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Sunderland
D D D D W
04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:0 Manchester CityManchester City
28.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 LeedsLeeds
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:0 BrightonBrighton
14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Sunderland

Brentford
1 matches total
Sunderland
Brentford: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sunderland: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sunderland 1:2 (30.08 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 30.08 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford
1:2
Sunderland