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Premier League
Premier League England
02.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
02.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Aston Villa

England Football
Brighton
Brighton
0 : 3
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Aston Villa April 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 3.65 / 2 3.29
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 43.8% / X 26.6% / Aston Villa 29.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 43.8%
X 26.6%
2 29.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 54.2%
Under 2.5 45.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Brighton - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.29 market consensus · line only
X 3.65 market consensus · line only
1 2.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.22 45.1%
X 3.65 27.4%
3.29 30.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.71 58.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.38 72.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.79 55.9%
Under 2.5 2.12 47.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.62 61.7%
2.40 41.7%
Match center
Brighton
D W W L D
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 WolvesWolves
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
06.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:4 ChelseaChelsea
22.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
8 Points
Aston Villa
D W D D W
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:1 FulhamFulham
06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
29.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:2 IpswichIpswich
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:1 WolvesWolves
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Aston Villa

Brighton
0 matches total
Aston Villa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history