Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Premier League England

03.12.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction

03.12.2025 19:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Brighton - Aston Villa

England Football

Brighton

3 : 4

Finished

Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Aston Villa December 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.41 / 2 3.08
1X2 market: Brighton 41.0% / X 28.0% / Aston Villa 31.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 41.0%

X 28.0%

2 31.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%

Over 2.5 53.1%

Under 2.5 46.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 03.12.2025 19:30 UTC

Match center

Brighton - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.09 market consensus · line only

X 3.41 market consensus · line only

1 2.33 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.63 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 1.38 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.06 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.35 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.21 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.40 41.7%
X	3.40 29.4%
	3.16 31.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.32 43.1%	2.33 42.9%	2.36 42.4%	2.38 42.0%	2.30 43.5%	2.37 42.2%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.53 28.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.25 30.8%
	3.05 32.8%	3.05 32.8%	3.24 30.9%	2.88 34.7%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.20 45.5%	2.28 43.9%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.25 44.4%	2.12 47.2%	2.32 43.1%
yes	1.60 62.5%	1.64 61.0%	1.64 61.0%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.64 61.0%	1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.57 63.7%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%
home_draw	1.36 73.5%	1.39 71.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.30 76.9%	1.39 71.9%	1.40 71.4%

Match center

Brighton

W W D W L

30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:0 Nottingem Forest

22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:1 Brentford

09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:0 Kristal Pelas

01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 3:0 Leeds

25.10 16:30 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:4 Manchester United

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Aston Villa

W W W L W

30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:0 Wolves

23.11 14:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 2:1 Leeds

09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 4:0 Bournemouth

01.11 20:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:2 Liverpul

26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:0 Manchester City

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.6 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Aston Villa

Brighton

1 matches total

Aston Villa

Brighton: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Aston Villa: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Aston Villa 0:3 (02.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 02.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

02.04 18:45 UTC

Premier League

Brighton

0:3

Aston Villa