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Premier League
Premier League England
19.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Bournemouth

England Football
Brighton
Brighton
1 : 1
Finished
Bournemouth
Bournemouth

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Bournemouth January 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.92 / 2 3.80
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 50.4% / X 24.4% / Bournemouth 25.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 50.4%
X 24.4%
2 25.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 62.1%
Under 2.5 37.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Brighton - Bournemouth

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.92 market consensus · line only
1 1.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.92 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.94 51.6%
X 3.89 25.7%
3.88 25.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.15 24.1% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
3.65 27.4% 3.65 27.4% 3.98 25.1% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.55 39.2% 2.68 37.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.46 40.7% 2.69 37.2%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Brighton
D W D L D
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
03.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 West HamWest Ham
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:2 ArsenalArsenal
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:0 SunderlandSunderland
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Bournemouth
W L D L D
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 3:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
03.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:3 ArsenalArsenal
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 2:2 ChelseaChelsea
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:4 BrentfordBrentford
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:1 BurnleyBurnley
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Bournemouth

Brighton
1 matches total
Bournemouth
Brighton: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bournemouth: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bournemouth 1:2 (13.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 13.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton
1:2
Bournemouth