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Premier League
Premier League England
22.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Brentford

England Football
Brighton
Brighton
2 : 1
Finished
Brentford
Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Brentford November 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.51 / 2 3.78
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 47.6% / X 27.2% / Brentford 25.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 47.6%
X 27.1%
2 25.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 53.2%
Under 2.5 46.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Brighton - Brentford

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.52 market consensus · line only
1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.84 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.05 48.8%
X 3.58 27.9%
3.83 26.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.97 50.8% 2.01 49.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.55 28.2% 3.64 27.5% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6%
3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.94 25.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2% 1.64 61.0% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Brighton
D W L W D
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:0 LeedsLeeds
25.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:4 Manchester UnitedManchester United
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 WolvesWolves
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Brentford
W L W W L
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:1 NyukaslNyukasl
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
25.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:2 LiverpulLiverpul
20.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:0 West HamWest Ham
05.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:1 Manchester CityManchester City
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Brentford

Brighton
1 matches total
Brentford
Brighton: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Brentford: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Brentford 2:4 (19.04 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 19.04 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton
2:4
Brentford