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Premier League
Premier League England
08.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Crystal Palace

England Football
Brighton
Brighton
0 : 1
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Crystal Palace February 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.50 / 2 3.81
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 47.7% / X 27.3% / Crystal Palace 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 47.7%
X 27.3%
2 25.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Brighton - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.82 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.83 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.11 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.02 49.5%
X 3.55 28.2%
3.97 25.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.96 51.0% 2.01 49.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.62 27.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.18 45.9%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Brighton
D L D D W
31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 EvertonEverton
24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:2 FulhamFulham
19.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
03.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Crystal Palace
D L L D L
01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:3 ChelseaChelsea
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 SunderlandSunderland
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:2 NyukaslNyukasl
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Crystal Palace

Brighton
2 matches total
Crystal Palace
Brighton: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Crystal Palace: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Kristal Pelas 1:2 (05.04 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 05.04 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (09.11 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton
0:0
Kristal Pelas
05.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton
1:2
Kristal Pelas