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Premier League
Premier League England
16.08.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
16.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Fulham

England Football
Brighton
Brighton
1 : 1
Finished
Fulham
Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Fulham August 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite Fonbet: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.90 / X 3.65 / 2 4.20
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 50.7% / X 26.4% / Fulham 22.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 50.7%
X 26.4%
2 22.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Brighton - Fulham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 Fonbet · line only
X 3.65 Fonbet · line only
1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 Fonbet · line only
12 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.02 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.86 53.8%
X 3.76 26.6%
4.42 22.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.68 27.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7%
4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3% 4.27 23.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.35 23.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Brighton
W W W D W
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 4:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
19.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:2 LiverpulLiverpul
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:0 WolvesWolves
04.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 NyukaslNyukasl
26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:2 West HamWest Ham
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
13 Points
Fulham
L W L L W
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
18.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:2 BrentfordBrentford
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:3 EvertonEverton
03.05 11:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Fulham

Brighton
0 matches total
Fulham
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history