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Premier League
Premier League England
24.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Manchester United

England Football
Brighton
Brighton
0 : 3
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Brighton face Manchester United on May 24, 2026 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): Brighton 2-1-2, Manchester United 4-1-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Brighton at roughly 51%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Manchester United May 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 4.09 / 2 3.75
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 51.3% / X 23.3% / Manchester United 25.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 51.4%
X 23.2%
2 25.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 64.1%
Under 2.5 35.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 51.4% @ 1.85 / X 23.2% @ 4.09 / 2 25.4% @ 3.75
Match center

Brighton - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 4.09 market consensus · line only
1 1.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.96 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.81 55.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.21 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.20 23.8%
3.65 27.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.58 38.8% 2.60 38.5%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7% 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.75 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.0 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 3.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 4.5 3.70 27.0%
Over 5.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 2.5 2.62 38.2%
Under 3.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 5.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Brighton
L W L W D
17.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:1 LeedsLeeds
09.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:0 WolvesWolves
02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:3 NyukaslNyukasl
21.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:0 ChelseaChelsea
18.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Manchester United
W D W W W
17.05 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:2 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
09.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:0 SunderlandSunderland
03.05 14:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:2 LiverpulLiverpul
27.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 BrentfordBrentford
18.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:0 ChelseaChelsea
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Manchester United

Brighton
1 matches total
Manchester United
Brighton: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester United: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester United 2:4 (25.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 25.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

25.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton
2:4
Manchester United