AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Newcastle. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
18.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Match prediction
Premier League
Brighton take on Newcastle on October 18, 2025 in the Premier League, England.
Recent form (W-D-L): Brighton 2-2-1, Newcastle 2-2-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Newcastle at roughly 39%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match markets| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.97 33.7% | |
| X | 3.48 28.7% |
| 2.48 40.3% |
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 33.3% | 2.94 34.0% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.97 33.7% | 2.97 33.7% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.68 27.2% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.48 28.7% |
| 2.40 41.7% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.43 41.2% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.48 40.3% |
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.28 43.9% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.63 61.4% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% |
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.46 68.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.61 62.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
Brighton
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Newcastle
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Lids
Full head-to-head history: Brighton - Newcastle
Premier League
Premier League
The Brighton - Newcastle breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Newcastle. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Brighton vs Newcastle from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
October 18, 2025.
