Premier League England

18.10.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction

18.10.2025 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Brighton - Newcastle

England Futbol

Brighton

2 : 1

Finished

Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Newcastle 18 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.92 / X 3.48 / 2 2.45
1X2 market: Brighton 33.0% / X 27.7% / Newcastle 39.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 33.0%

X 27.7%

2 39.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%

Over 2.5 51.9%

Under 2.5 48.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.10.2025 14:00 UTC

Match center

Brighton - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.45 market consensus · line only

X 3.48 market consensus · line only

1 2.93 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.44 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.58 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.43 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.84 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.17 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.97 33.7%
Х	3.48 28.7%
П2	2.48 40.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
П1	3.00 33.3%	2.94 34.0%	2.88 34.7%	2.88 34.7%	2.97 33.7%	2.97 33.7%
Х	3.40 29.4%	3.68 27.2%	3.30 30.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.48 28.7%	3.48 28.7%
П2	2.40 41.7%	2.48 40.3%	2.45 40.8%	2.43 41.2%	2.48 40.3%	2.48 40.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.28 43.9%	2.15 46.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.12 47.2%	2.33 42.9%	2.10 47.6%
yes	1.63 61.4%	1.64 61.0%	1.70 58.8%	1.64 61.0%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.46 68.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.46 68.5%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.32 75.8%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.61 62.1%	1.53 65.4%	1.61 62.1%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.55 64.5%

Match center

Brighton

D W D L W

05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:1 Wolves

27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 3:1 Chelsea

20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:2 Tottenkhem

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:2 Bournemouth

31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:1 Manchester City

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

Newcastle

W L D W D

05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:0 Nottingem Forest

28.09 15:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:2 Arsenal

21.09 13:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:0 Bournemouth

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:0 Wolves

30.08 16:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:0 Leeds

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.4 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Newcastle

Brighton

2 matches total

Newcastle

Brighton: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Newcastle: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Brighton 1:0 (19.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 04.05 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (04.05 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

04.05 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Brighton

1:1

Nyukasl

19.10 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Brighton

1:0

Nyukasl