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Premier League
Premier League England
22.11.2025 12:30 UTC Match prediction
22.11.2025 12:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Burnley - Chelsea

England Football
Burnley
Burnley
0 : 2
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Chelsea November 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.44 / X 4.36 / 2 1.50
  • 1X2 market: Burnley 14.8% / X 21.8% / Chelsea 63.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 14.8%
X 21.8%
2 63.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 54.4%
Under 2.5 45.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 12:30 UTC
Match center

Burnley - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.36 market consensus · line only
1 6.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 2.62 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.76 14.8%
X 4.38 22.8%
1.52 65.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.40 15.6% 6.20 16.1% 6.89 14.5% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.61 21.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5%
1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 2.50 40.0% 2.69 37.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.57 38.9% 2.67 37.5%
Match center
Burnley
L L W W L
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:3 West HamWest Ham
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 3:2 WolvesWolves
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:0 LeedsLeeds
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Chelsea
W W L W W
08.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:0 WolvesWolves
01.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
25.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 SunderlandSunderland
18.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
04.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Chelsea

Burnley
0 matches total
Chelsea
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history