Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Premier League
Premier League England
03.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Burnley - Crystal Palace

England Football
Burnley
Burnley
0 : 1
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Crystal Palace December 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.

Line favourite market consensus: Crystal Palace. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.91 / X 3.65 / 2 1.76
  • 1X2 market: Burnley 19.5% / X 26.2% / Crystal Palace 54.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 19.5%
X 26.2%
2 54.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 43.8%
Under 2.5 56.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Burnley - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.76 market consensus · line only
X 3.66 market consensus · line only
1 4.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.95 20.2%
X 3.71 27.0%
1.78 56.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.90 20.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.07 19.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.78 26.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%
1.74 57.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.77 56.5%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7%
Match center
Burnley
L L L L W
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:3 BrentfordBrentford
22.11 12:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:2 ChelseaChelsea
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:3 West HamWest Ham
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 3:2 WolvesWolves
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Crystal Palace
L W D W L
30.11 12:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:0 WolvesWolves
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 BrightonBrighton
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:0 BrentfordBrentford
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:1 ArsenalArsenal
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Crystal Palace

Burnley
0 matches total
Crystal Palace
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history