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Premier League England

07.01.2026 20:15 UTC Match prediction

07.01.2026 20:15 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Burnley - Manchester United

England Football

Burnley

2 : 2

Finished

Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Manchester United January 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.15 / X 3.87 / 2 1.69
1X2 market: Burnley 18.6% / X 24.8% / Manchester United 56.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 18.6%

X 24.7%

2 56.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%

Over 2.5 50.1%

Under 2.5 49.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 07.01.2026 20:15 UTC

Match center

Burnley - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.69 market consensus · line only

X 3.87 market consensus · line only

1 5.16 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.18 market consensus · line only

12 1.26 market consensus · line only

1X 2.21 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.17 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.21 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 4.62 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.91 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	5.27 19.0%
X	3.92 25.5%
	1.70 58.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	5.10 19.6%	5.20 19.2%	5.38 18.6%	5.00 20.0%	5.40 18.5%	5.00 20.0%
X	3.85 26.0%	3.95 25.3%	3.98 25.1%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%
	1.65 60.6%	1.68 59.5%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.90 52.6%	1.92 52.1%	1.89 52.9%	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.87 53.5%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.89 52.9%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.92 52.1%	1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	2.15 46.5%	2.24 44.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.22 45.1%	2.23 44.8%	2.27 44.1%

Match center

Burnley

L L D D L

03.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:2 Brighton

30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:3 Nyukasl

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:0 Everton

20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:1 Bournemouth

13.12 17:30 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:3 Fulham

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

2 Points

Manchester United

D D W L D

04.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 Leeds

30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 Wolves

26.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:0 Nyukasl

21.12 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:2 Aston Villa

15.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 4:4 Bournemouth

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Manchester United

Burnley

1 matches total

Manchester United

Burnley: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Manchester United: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Manchester United 2:3 (30.08 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 30.08 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.08 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Burnley

2:3

Manchester United